When you look at the headline, you may wonder what I am referring to. I am not referring to the results of last nights primaries. Trump won all five states including the delegate fight in Pennsylvania. Clinton won in four states with Bernie Sanders winning Rhode Island.
As a result, Hillary looks to be the winner on the Democrat side. Trump is close to running the table on the Republican side, but it isn’t really over yet. If he can win Indiana, he will probably sew up the Republican nomination on the first ballot.
What is unbelievable to me is the talk coming from the Cruz and the Kasich camps. If you listen real close to them, Cruz and/or Kasich actually won last night, Cruz or Kasich will actually be the Republican nomination come November.
Ted Cruz and John Kasich are fighting backroom battles to sow up delegates after the first ballot at the convention. Trump hasn’t been as involved, and as a result, he is lagging far behind in that battle. That in itself isn’t unbelievable, but the very fact that two candidates for the nomination of the Republican Party are scheming to take the nomination away from the front-runner is.
In my 50 plus years of watching and participating in elections, I have never seen such a frenzy of candidates working hard to win on the second ballot rather than on the first ballot. That is the part that is unbelievable to me.
One of the Kasich backers, I am sorry I was so stupefied by his response I can’t remember his name, was asked about the “electability” of the candidate. He said: “voters don’t understand the electability of the candidates, but delegates do.”
In other words, this gentleman just told all of the millions of voters who already cast their vote for Donald Trump, they don’t understand how to win the election. And, according to this amazing thinker, the delegates will have to step in and “correct” the situation.
We have heard similar nonsense come from Cruz’ campaign as well. Cruz is counting on a contested convention. He has no chance to win the nomination without a contested convention. With all of his backroom deals, he figures he will surely win on the second ballot. And, it is quite possible he will, if there is a second ballot.
Problem is that for years and years, the parties have told the members of their party that the voters will decide who will get the nomination. Yes, they have been somewhat open about “super delegates” and “party selected delegates”, especially this year. But, the whole premise of “primaries” is so the members of each party can decide who their nominee should be.
The Republicans are so upset that the voters are actually choosing Donald Trump, that they have several “stop Trump” campaigns going on just to cause a contested convention. Then, using those smoke-filled backroom deals, they can give the nomination to someone else.
I cannot and will not speak for anybody else, but if I were one of those Trump supporters and saw the nomination taken away from him by backroom deals, I would really be pissed off! Surveys are showing that the American people believe that the primaries are rigged to begin with. If they take the nomination away from the front-runner, that will only prove their cynicism.
I don’t like Trump any more than I like Cruz or Kasich. I think they are all megalomaniacs who are only interested in power and have no real concern for the American people. I consider them all to be hateful bigots who will cause a backwards movement in regards to civil rights we have never seen before.
Even still, if Donald Trump has the largest number of committed delegates on the first ballot, he should eventually win the nomination even in a contested convention. Especially since he has a huge lead and has won far more states than either of his rivals. As a matter of fact, he has won more states than Cruz and Kasich combined.
So, the real question is what are Republicans going to do about it. Cruz and Kasich are bound and determined to keep Trump from getting enough delegates to win on the first ballot. That means we will have a contested convention, and the fact is Trump will probably NOT get the nomination in the end.
It is also believed that the Republican Party cannot win in November without Trump Voters. Yet, his rivals are claiming the party cannot win in November with Trump as the nominee. That puts the party in quite a dilemma. How do you keep Trump from winning the nomination and keep his supporters. Telling them only “delegates” understand “electability” is not the answer, in my opinion.
The other “unbelievable” thing is who would have guessed that a major party in American Politics would have a choice between Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, or John Kasich to be the standard-bearer in a Presidential election? Has our political system fallen so low to allow that to happen?
All of them are anti-immigration, anti-education, anti-civil rights, anti-environment, anti-woman, anti-gay, and in my opinion, anti-American! Yet, their party is likely going to give us a choice to pick one of them.
The Republican Party is devoid of ideas. Even Kasich said the party hates new ideas. Governing has become as repugnant to them as same-sex marriage or any form of civil rights. The primary season ends on June 8 when California holds their primary. And, unlike most years, California will have a big say in who gets the nomination for the Republicans.
The convention begins on July 18. If Trump has not sown up enough votes to win on the first ballot, I am certain the convention will descend into chaos. If that happens, everyone should actually watch the procedures. It will be one of the best civics lessons ever. That is, of course, if the party is transparent in its procedures. Which I doubt they will be.
If Trump does have enough votes to win on the first ballot, I am willing to bet there will be cries to “change the rules” so he can’t win on the first ballot. That is a real possibility because Republican rules can be changed right up to the first gavel falling on the convention.
I believe more than anything, how the party handles a contested convention will have much more to do with the outcome in November than most people think. If they remain secretive during the proceedings of a contested convention, they will piss-off a lot of their own members.
It will be interesting to see how things play out over the next few months. As I said once before, it won’t be pretty.