As soon as the framework for a nuclear deal with Iran was announced, the right-wing went to war against the President. What else is new? As you remember, they started firing volleys before any deal was even announced. Remember their letter to Iran?
But, things have gotten a lost worse since the deal was announced. According to the right-wing, we are “giving away the house” with the deal and getting nothing in return. It will surely mean that Iran will be nuking Israel within two months of signing any deal.
Of course, Netanyahu hit the talk shows yesterday complaining that this was a bad deal. He claims that Iran is going to be able to have a free hand in making nuclear bombs if the deal is finalized. But, he let loose with a few quotes that somehow makes his argument sound hollow, at least concerning the actual deal. According to Netanyahu, the deal is bad because it does not force Iran out of the terrorism support game.
On ABC’s “This Week” he said: “They’re not going to use it for schools or hospitals or roads,” Netanyahu said of the potential economic boost from sanctions relief. “Martha, they’re going to use it to pump up their terror machine worldwide and their military machine that is busy conquering the Middle East now.”
That would make the real concern for Israel’s Prime Minister not a nuclear bomb being achieved by Iran, but rather their support of terrorism. That is a fair concern. Israel does face many dangers and has many haters in the region. But, one thing Netanyahu could do to help calm down a lot of this hatred is to sit at the negotiating table with the Palestinians and work out a peace deal recognizing the Palestinian State.
Of course that would mean he would have to stop the settlement program on the West Bank and that would piss off his own right-wing. Since Netanyahu has publicly stated that there will be no “Palestinian State as long as I am Prime Minister,” the prospects of calming down the Mideast problems are slim to none.
Which brings us back to the deal’s framework that was announced. I will be honest, as Republicans say, “I am not a scientist,” and most of this deal requires some scientific knowledge about nuclear material to fully understand it. But, from what I understand of the deal, the so-called experts say it will hold back Iran from gaining any nuclear weapons for at least 10 years. Some on our side of the Atlantic think that is too short and that we should just bomb the facilities.
Well, John Bolton – who places more faith than anyone in the power of bombs to solve problems – says that an enthusiastic application of explosives to Iranian nuclear sites could set the program back a whopping three to five years. Call me silly, but 10 years seems longer than three to five years. Besides, who knows what the two sides will look like after those ten years? Things could be good enough to go back to the negotiating table.
Of course the whole deal is going to be dependent on whether or not Iran agrees to the verification process that will be necessary. The one thing Ronald Reagan said that I do agree with is “trust but verify.” Somehow, I think that if that policy was good enough to negotiate with the Soviet Union who was far more powerful, it should be good enough to negotiate with Iran.
There is nothing in the framework that would preclude sanctions to be imposed again if Iran breaks the deal. That is the hammer that the world can use against them to ensure their compliance. Besides, the sanctions do not immediately come off. Iran needs to comply with the deal first. What was announced was a “framework” not an actual finalized deal. That still needs to be hammered out. This can still fall apart.
Yet, the Republican Presidential Candidates all hate the deal. Most have even gone so far as to say they would scrap it on the first day in office if elected. One of their biggest claims against the President is that our “allies don’t trust us” anymore. What better way to gain their trust than to break our word on you first day in office?
Remember, this deal is not just with the U.S. It is with the 5 plus one nations. These nations include France, Germany, Britain, Russia, and China. Their support is critical in making any deal with Iran stick. If the U.S. decides not to go along with it and everyone else does, Iran will still have the vast majority of sanctions lifted by these other nations. We will not be able force to Iran to the table again because acting alone won’t be enough to affect their politics or economy. As a result, Iran would become even more dangerous than it already is. And, it would be our fault.
Finally, what other options are there? This question has been raised to these candidates and they don’t want to answer the question. When asked what they would do if there was no deal or if they scrapped it, they don’t offer up anything. The reason they don’t offer up anything is because the only other alternative is war.
Yes, there are basically two ways to keep Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. One is through diplomacy, which is always tricky, and the other is through an invasion. After almost 14 years of war, Americans are not ready for another one in the Mideast. If you think Iran’s military is a pushover, you better think again.
The real reason the Republicans are so against this deal is not because it is so bad, it is because they don’t want a deal with Iran. Their puppet-master in Israel is telling them that the only answer is war with Iran. And, they are willing to fight the war for him.
As a result, we are getting more of the same fear-mongering about Iran that we got about the old Soviet Union. It appears that our conservatives aren’t happy unless there is some kind of cold or hot war going on somewhere. And, in order to keep their fear-mongering alive, they are even willing to break our word with our allies.
What a wonderful way to conduct foreign policy. Break your word to you allies, and bomb your enemies.